
The Opta supercomputer has refreshed its predictions for the 2026 FIFA World Cup favorite list following the conclusion of the quarter-final matches.
France continues to hold the top spot as the leading contender for the tournament title. Their probability of ultimately claiming victory stands at 34.05%. The second most likely winner of the 2026 World Cup is reigning European champion Spain, with a 23.45% chance.
The third and fourth positions are occupied by the national teams of England and Argentina. Thomas Tuchel’s squad is given a 21.94% chance of winning, while the current world champions, according to the Supercomputer, have the lowest likelihood of success at 20.55%.
Based on the outcomes of the quarter-final games, the following semi-final pairings have been determined: France versus Spain and England versus Argentina. These matches are scheduled for July 14 and 15.